Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.619881e-01 0.471291 0.590340 0.727803 0.880500 1.043475 1.229203
2025-08-24 1.757633e-01 0.306654 0.468321 0.672822 0.916626 1.191564 1.519305
2025-08-31 9.850877e-02 0.229579 0.410245 0.654554 0.959452 1.314644 1.748663
2025-09-07 5.664343e-02 0.184188 0.380586 0.661961 1.026020 1.460477 2.000756
2025-09-14 2.750981e-02 0.143136 0.346367 0.655168 1.068455 1.572348 2.208500
2025-09-21 9.160791e-03 0.106168 0.308942 0.637358 1.091964 1.657631 2.381747
2025-09-28 4.045325e-03 0.096627 0.313334 0.676892 1.188969 1.832631 2.662166
2025-10-05 1.611140e-03 0.091932 0.324755 0.725926 1.298184 2.022702 2.960886
2025-10-12 1.905955e-04 0.084206 0.328650 0.762637 1.390225 2.190898 3.232867
2025-10-19 7.076369e-07 0.084251 0.347315 0.821836 1.512893 2.397972 3.552676
2025-10-26 NaN 0.079912 0.355988 0.865010 1.613377 2.576826 3.837948
2025-11-02 NaN 0.067277 0.344374 0.874794 1.666914 2.695276 4.048544
2025-11-09 NaN 0.041747 0.296449 0.824671 1.638413 2.712038 4.139153
2025-11-16 NaN 0.021307 0.247647 0.767174 1.596286 2.709539 4.205194
2025-11-23 NaN 0.011859 0.222742 0.747240 1.605586 2.771991 4.350285
2025-11-30 NaN 0.007666 0.213799 0.755277 1.655570 2.888021 4.562911
2025-12-07 NaN 0.003561 0.197817 0.747968 1.681478 2.971247 4.733447
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000754 0.177216 0.728869 1.688022 3.027539 4.869004
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000688 0.186488 0.771255 1.789584 3.212714 5.169879
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000878 0.200503 0.823724 1.906964 3.419568 5.498813
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000723 0.208202 0.862933 2.003804 3.598614 5.792218
2026-01-11 NaN 0.001200 0.227209 0.926043 2.137958 3.828569 6.151203
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001204 0.238030 0.971987 2.245499 4.022456 6.464044